Polymarket Top 150 Prediction Markets by Trading Volume
The 150 highest-volume Polymarket prediction markets, totaling $15.0B in trades, spanning politics, sports, and economics.
| # | question | category | volume_usd | final_yes_price_pct | resolved | resolved_outcome | end_date | + |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 1531479284 | 100.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 2 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 1037039118 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-04 | ||
| 3 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | january 6 | 400409526 | 100.0 | False | 2025-01-20 | ||
| 4 | Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 378011506 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 5 | Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | eu | 326507670 | 0.0 | False | 2024-12-08 | ||
| 6 | Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Celebrities | 242231180 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-30 | ||
| 7 | Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 241655099 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 8 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Fed Rates | 235065166 | 0.0 | False | 2026-01-28 | ||
| 9 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Fed Rates | 216455743 | 0.0 | False | 2026-01-28 | ||
| 10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Economy | 172972056 | 0.0 | False | 2026-03-18 | ||
| 11 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Trump | 163779786 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 12 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Politics | 161574382 | 0.0 | False | 2025-12-10 | ||
| 13 | US government shutdown Saturday? | Gov Shutdown | 157296576 | 100.0 | False | 2026-01-31 | ||
| 14 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 154220299 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 15 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 153382275 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 16 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | nyc | 143254859 | 100.0 | False | 2025-11-04 | ||
| 17 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 141605110 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 18 | Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | Sports | 139314923 | 0.0 | False | 2025-02-09 | ||
| 19 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | Fed Rates | 133955589 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-07 | ||
| 20 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Politics | 133173605 | 0.0 | False | 2025-12-10 | ||
| 21 | Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Sports | 133113813 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-31 | ||
| 22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Geopolitics | 131114970 | 100.0 | False | 2026-02-28 | ||
| 23 | Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 130194075 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 24 | Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 129911351 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 25 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Jerome Powell | 127684064 | 0.0 | False | 2026-12-31 | ||
| 26 | Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025? | Sports | 123969933 | 0.0 | False | 2025-02-09 | ||
| 27 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Trump | 119932620 | 100.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 28 | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Culture | 119653357 | 100.0 | False | 2025-04-30 | ||
| 29 | Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025? | Sports | 119500829 | 0.0 | False | 2025-02-09 | ||
| 30 | Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 116668813 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 31 | Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 116558196 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 32 | Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025? | Sports | 115257552 | 0.0 | False | 2025-02-09 | ||
| 33 | Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election? | Politics | 115067178 | 0.0 | False | 2025-11-11 | ||
| 34 | Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? | Politics | 109063759 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 35 | Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025? | Sports | 107857306 | 0.0 | False | 2025-02-09 | ||
| 36 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 107529158 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 37 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Fed Rates | 106767096 | 100.0 | False | 2026-01-28 | ||
| 38 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | All | 102216689 | 0.0 | False | 2025-10-29 | ||
| 39 | Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | Soccer | 101429202 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-25 | ||
| 40 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Fed Rates | 101211542 | 0.0 | False | 2026-01-28 | ||
| 41 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 93307167 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 42 | Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | USA Election | 92886849 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-04 | ||
| 43 | Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Sports | 91279169 | 0.0 | False | 2026-05-27 | ||
| 44 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Epstein | 90915983 | 100.0 | False | |||
| 45 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Geopolitics | 89652867 | 100.0 | False | 2026-01-31 | ||
| 46 | Southampton wins the Premier League? | Soccer | 88209349 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-25 | ||
| 47 | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Global Elections | 88035547 | 100.0 | False | 2025-06-03 | ||
| 48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Economy | 87103283 | 0.0 | False | 2026-03-18 | ||
| 49 | Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 86041732 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 50 | Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Sports | 82978657 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-31 | ||
| 51 | Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election? | Romania | 80897096 | 0.0 | False | 2025-12-31 | ||
| 52 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Movies | 80824835 | 0.0 | False | 2025-12-31 | ||
| 53 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Geopolitics | 78655911 | 0.0 | False | 2025-12-31 | ||
| 54 | Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | Crypto | 76899060 | 100.0 | False | 2024-11-04 | ||
| 55 | Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | Sports | 74275772 | 0.0 | False | 2025-02-09 | ||
| 56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | 2025 Predictions | 73752993 | 0.0 | False | 2025-12-31 | ||
| 57 | Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 73646892 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 58 | Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Global Elections | 73197949 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-03 | ||
| 59 | Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | january 6 | 72247146 | 0.0 | False | 2024-12-20 | ||
| 60 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 72176112 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 61 | Will Real Betis win La Liga? | Sports | 71762810 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-25 | ||
| 62 | Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference? | Sports | 71286704 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-05 | ||
| 63 | Manchester United wins the Premier League? | Soccer | 71063868 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-25 | ||
| 64 | Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Sports | 70848160 | 0.0 | False | 2026-02-08 | ||
| 65 | Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Trump | 70237132 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 66 | Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 69838997 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 67 | Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | Sports | 69281806 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-31 | ||
| 68 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Global Elections | 67376035 | 0.0 | False | 2025-10-20 | ||
| 69 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | All | 67368762 | 0.0 | False | 2025-09-17 | ||
| 70 | Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | Soccer | 67314791 | 0.0 | False | 2025-05-25 | ||
| 71 | Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | house | 67258993 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-30 | ||
| 72 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | All | 67002488 | 0.0 | False | 2025-09-17 | ||
| 73 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Politics | 65428102 | 100.0 | False | 2025-12-31 | ||
| 74 | Will Biden finish his term? | resign | 64552171 | 100.0 | False | 2025-01-20 | ||
| 75 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | World | 64413918 | 0.9 | False | 2026-03-31 | ||
| 76 | Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | Sports | 64086195 | 0.0 | False | 2026-02-08 | ||
| 77 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Politics | 63238697 | 100.0 | False | 2026-03-31 | ||
| 78 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 62225174 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 79 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 61077508 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 80 | Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | nyc | 60402049 | 0.0 | False | 2025-11-04 | ||
| 81 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Sports | 60253518 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-05 | ||
| 82 | Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sports | 60236453 | 0.0 | False | 2026-02-08 | ||
| 83 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Jerome Powell | 59907150 | 100.0 | False | 2026-12-31 | ||
| 84 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 59019076 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 85 | Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | house | 58633495 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-30 | ||
| 86 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Politics | 57519438 | 0.0 | False | 2024-08-19 | ||
| 87 | Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? | Sports | 57232072 | 0.0 | False | 2026-02-08 | ||
| 88 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | Macro Fed | 56978076 | 0.0 | False | 2025-01-31 | ||
| 89 | Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 56529405 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 90 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Trending Markets | 56491984 | 0.0 | False | 2025-04-20 | ||
| 91 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Featured | 55056697 | 100.0 | False | 2026-01-01 | ||
| 92 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Politics | 54634506 | 100.0 | False | 2025-12-10 | ||
| 93 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Politics | 54563172 | 100.0 | False | 2024-08-19 | ||
| 94 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Trump | 54161276 | 0.0 | False | 2024-11-05 | ||
| 95 | Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | house | 54151183 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-30 | ||
| 96 | Will there be a US Government shutdown? | Politics | 53500373 | 100.0 | False | 2024-12-31 | ||
| 97 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? | NBA | 53153256 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-23 | ||
| 98 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | All | 52589989 | 0.0 | False | 2025-10-29 | ||
| 99 | Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Global Elections | 51905307 | 0.0 | False | 2025-06-03 | ||
| 100 | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | Geopolitics | 51779894 | 100.0 | False | 2025-06-30 |
1–100 of 150
Rows per page:
1 / 2
Polymarket Top 150 Prediction Markets by Trading Volume — AI Analysis
Key Findings
- The 2024 Trump presidential election market alone generated $1.53B in volume — more than all sports markets combined
- Politics and geopolitics account for $7.1B (47%) of total volume across the top 150 markets
- Sports betting is the second-largest category at $4.0B, led by NBA and soccer markets
- Only 26 of 150 top markets (17%) resolved YES — the vast majority of high-volume bets were on events that didn't happen
- The top 5 markets concentrate 24.5% of all volume, showing a heavy power-law distribution
Visualizations
Volume by Sector
Market Resolution Outcomes
Trading Volume by Category
Top 10 Markets by Trading Volume
Quirky markets draw serious money
'Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?' attracted $242M in trading volume — more than most Fed rate decision markets and all but one Romanian presidential election bet.